Brain Drain

Our group at work is divided into three separate sections, because of the building layout rather than representing any commercial rationale. Consequently loose social groupings form around these ‘pods’. In my pod, the absense of myself and a senior partner has led to an overall reduction in social networking opportunities and a general feeling of ‘flatness’ in the environment. One colleague suggested that a way to prevent such a loss in the future would be to lock to exits from our pod, thus keeping us locked in.

I proffered, cheekily, that perhaps the correct incentive was for the pod to be more fun in the first place, so I wouldn’t have the incentive to leave.

Of course, in the office, I go where I’m told. In the wider world, we go where the market tells us to go. If you want to keep people like scientists and academics in country, then give them a good reason to, rather than denying others the benefits of their expertise.

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Fair trade – process vs outcome

Dani Rodrik has an interesting post on the procedural fairness of trade

a redistribution that takes place because home firms are undercut by competitors who employ deplorable labor practices, use production methods that are harmful to the environment, or enjoy government support is procedurally different than one that takes place because an innovator has come up with a better product through hard work or ingenuity.  Trade and technological progress can have very different implications for procedural fairness.  This is a point that most people instinctively grasp, but economists often miss.

In the case where person A is made richare than person B, perhaps because person A engaged in unethical or immoral behaviour, then as Dani says, our perception of whether the resulting distribution is acceptable or not depends on these issues. However, isn’t that just a symptom of incomplete accounting, i.e. not accounting for the negative externality person A causes on person B. Surely if accounted for then we wouldn’t have need to run into the roadblock Dani describes.

Another issue is that surely perspective is important. In the quote above, if you are a factory owner in Vietnam employing young children  for long hours making designer clothes, it doesn’t look particularly innovative to us. But to the alternatives faced by those labourers, the introduction of the factory is innovative. You can’t talk about fairness without including the other side in the debate.

However, I think Dani is right when he asserts that the procedural issue is one of the reasons why laypeople and economists often differ in their assessments of free trade. My view is that this reflects differences between the groups of whether externalities exist and what, if anything, should be done about them.

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Birkbeck lecture slides

For those students who attended the lecture last night, here are the behavioural-economics-slides.ppt. I’ve added a slide to reflect some comments and ideas from the class discussion. After the weekend, I’ll give a few additional pointers to the sort of thing that you might be tested on in an exam.

Thanks again, and apologies for overunning.

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Marx, but not as I know it

Natalie Bennett has discovered freecycle – a way of getting rid of stuff you don’t want and either can’t be bothered to sell it, or have a social conscious. Perhaps because of its social objective, she thinks it’s an endorsement of Marx:

I’ve always thought that the valuable bit of Marx is that simple but powerful concept: “from each according to their ability, to each according to their needs“, and that, with absolutely minimal organisation and absolutely no officialdom, is what freecycle delivers. Plus more: it delivers space and convenience to those who feel these are hard to find, and it brings together different elements of society in a constructive, cooperative way

I’m missing something here.  In her second sentence Natalie could be describing a free market, yet she thinks freecycle is a modern interpretation of Marx. The problem of of course is that in true Marxism, a persons needs weren’t to be interpreted by a mere individual, but by a collective conscience, motivated by a social goal. Freecycle, by linking individuals and giving them the power to choose who gets what is just the free market in action; rationing may not occur through price  as we know it, but at least it’s left to the wisdom of the individual. Not something Marx completely endorsed.

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Posted in Wisdom of markets | 2 Comments

Segolene for Prez!

No, I haven’t gone crazy, though if I have, there is method in my madness.

France is a great country. Wonderful cities, some of the biggest European companies fighting it out with the worlds best; a fairly successful auto industry, and a health system and public transport network that the British could die for (in the case of the health service, that’s not an aphorism).

But if you’re not one of the protected elites or a tourist, then France is far from great. France needs fixing. And it’s only when things are broke, really broke that somebody tries to fix them.

Sarkozy has promised a few liberal reforms, but they are mere tinkering, and do little to address the most fundamental problem with France: it’s sclerotic labour market. The generous welfare provisioning, and other problems like lack of risk-taking and innovation, are all second order effects. With less rigidity in the job market with employees attracting workers throught their own packages, it’s likely that the extent of public provision wouldn’t need to be so great. A generous welfare state also ensure the continuance of the system: who would vote for labour reform if it was tied to the end of their fat pension?

That is why Segolene needs to win. Her ‘reforms’ – in reality maintaining, if not strengthening the current system – will cause France to buckle. It will probably be ugly and painful to watch the Fifth Republic go down like a vin de table in the Ritz, but at least then France will be broke. And somebody will have to fix it. And fix it properly.

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I couldn’t have said it better myself

I am a big fan of Sen, and from the comments at MR, the best summary of how I feel about his work.

But, IMHO, the most important thing about Sen is that he is a Wayne Gretsky academic (I am a Canadian and a hockey player who was born with seven instead of five senses is a useful point of reference, Tyler might prefer to cite other people with seven senses such as Mozart or Degas, but my real point is that Sen has a brain which works in ways normal human beings can aspire to but never reach). The great thing about being an economist is that questions addressed by economics have attracted many of the the most innately brilliant people in human history and Sen is one of these. Moreover, he has devoted his life to thinking about the problem of creating a better world while simultaneously trying to hold anyone who wants to talk about ” a better world” accountable for their definition of what a better world really means.

Has he found the “holy grail”? No. But anyone searching should read every thing he has written (since it will reveal your errors and help provide direction.) Still his recent popular publications are among the best of his career. He seems to want to make a difference in the real world (i.e beyond the academic world) and, in particular, his work in economic development is practical but not formulaic. Most critics, who are unfamiliar with the way he thinks and of the way his earlier work feeds his pop work, don’t really get it. But an average reader can get a lot.

I don’t agree with everything he writes, but that is beside the point. He writes in a way that invites internal debate within yourself and forces you to confront your grounds of objection, or to validate internally your agreements.

It’s the closest I’ve come to feeling like I’m in an intense seminar, whilst being completely alone.

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Inflation leaps

Mervyn writes.

The Chancellor writes back.

How nice. what have we learnt? Zilcho, but perhaps any sense of impending panic has been managed by knowing that there is a process in place.

It seems rather quaint that the economy is treated like an errant child who behaves beyong the bounds of acceptability and must be reported to its parent. This gives the parent some feeling of responsibility and power over the child, as no doubt the Chancellor like to think he has, and would probably like to actually have, over the economy.

But of course the Chancellor will not have to report to anyone; Parliament is a poor arbiter of economic management, especially fiscal policy. Moreover, as with hoodies, part of the problem lies with the parents themselves, but Mervyn King can hardly castigate his employer for decidedly dodgy policy, can he?

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Roaming charges

Tim W has a go at mobile roaming charges. He links to this, which suggests:

But there’s something else a bit murky here. The European Commission is focusing soley on the roaming charges. Just because the companies might be making large profits on that narrowly defined section of their business doesn’t mean they’re pocketing it and walking off. All those free handsets, call minutes and texts that the big telecoms companies offer (but not, alas, Jersey Telecoms) have to be paid for somehow.

Could it be that these roaming charges (paid by those well-off enough to travel) are subsidising communication for everyone, benefiting, in particular, the less well off?

Maybe. Maybe not. The problem is similar to the one the CC investigated a few years back in relation to the UK market. Then, it was found the mobile phone firms charged very high termination fees (the fee the mobile company of the calling party charges to the connected party). These higher fees, essentially charged at the wholesale level, are not affected by competitive pressures at the retail level. That is, there is little incentive to prevent termination fees spiralling ever higher. This isn’t a problem for mobile firms as the analysis show that what they pay out in termination fees they pretty much get back. But the fixed line operators suffer. The excess returns from termination fees thus subsidise cheap handsets and free minutes.

A good thing? It depends. The subsidy appeared to drive people from using a low cost technology (Fixed line) to a high cost (mobile). Equally, fixed to mobile callers subsidise mobile users, also causing a distortion.

My guess is that the issue is similar across the EU. In any case, it isn’t as simple as looking at the availability of cheap handsets.

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Morality and markets

A DJ gets fired for making unsavoury remarks about a women’s basketball team. Tim Worstall takes issue with Jane Galt’s view that Don Imus can’t be expected to keep his job if he makes offensive comments and contributes to falling rating and advertising income. Don Imus has essentially been fired then because he has suddenly become a low productivity worker

No, there’s only one good reson to fire Don Imus:

And your show seems to be about to not make any money.

Capitalism is as capitalism does. That the show being about to not make money is a result of his appalling racial slurs is a minor factor, that it is about to not make money is the only one we actually have to take regard of.

As it turns out, the people don’t want racial slurs….which is why the show is about not to make money. But it’s the money measurement that we should take note of: the racism has been rejected by the markets, which is really rather something to celebrate, isn’t it? That trusting the people does in fact work?

This is a typical Beckerian view of discrimination: employers who racially discriminate for example, can be exploited by employers that don’t and have the opportunity of hiring more productive workers, perhaps at a lower cost, and dricing the discriminating firms from the market, or else forcing them to be less discriminating.

Problem is, you may find yourself in a market in which it is optimal for all firms to discriminate, so you never move from that equilibrium. Don Imus may be able to get a job at WKRP Burning Cross FM where local firms are only to happy to advertise, or perhaps quiet sponsors keep the station afloat. In such a market, there could even be competition amongst DJs to out-hate each other in order to attract money.

I agree entirely with Mill’s view that free speech should be allowed because it’s the only way of ensuring which views are ‘right’. The marketplace of ideas, in other words, has some merit to it, and in a wide sense, TIm is right: racist ideas have been driven from the main market. But those ideas can still be viable if money is the only yardstick, as Tim suggests it is.  That leaves me feeling slightly uncomfortable; it would be great to live in Mill’s idealised world bad ideas got short shrift, but in a world where the most eduated and richest country in the world can actually get into a tizz about whether teaching Creationism alongside classical evolutionary theory is appropriate, I’m not sure that the ‘market’ alone is enough.

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Myths and misunderstood economics

What is the greatest misunderstanding about economics and business in general? For me, it’s the commonly perpetuated view that “for-profit” and “for the public” are necessarily divergent and opposite viewpoints. Or it put it another way, that self-interest can’t lead to a common good.

That Smith’s central message, 200 years later, is still poorly misunderstood is rather astonishing if you think about it. What if we were as equally ignorant of scientific advances from 200 years ago?

And who is to blame? The public? The educators? Doesn’t anyone (apart from economists) think that in todays world, where issues of public good and interest, such as global warming, are high profile, think Smith’s insight is aplicable or relevant to these issues?

You have have guessed that I’ve jsut returned from holiday and the ensuing mild depression contributed to the above post/rant. But it is depressing that we’ve been having the same debate, without resolution or understanding, for 200 years.

Just think about it again.

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